Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 3106.911582 3354.946327 3606.139279 3879.250844 4167.488202 4462.318463 4786.352768
2024-12-15 2739.109523 3112.241675 3504.050348 3944.881190 4425.776691 4933.206624 5507.835597
2024-12-22 2445.670356 2888.863195 3367.115123 3918.983017 4535.602486 5200.778520 5969.941353
2024-12-29 2288.766718 2790.950684 3345.005251 3997.394420 4740.205549 5555.369027 6513.173750
2025-01-05 2129.546982 2673.436773 3285.687027 4019.750500 4869.594394 5816.284067 6944.119078
2025-01-12 1984.085049 2559.305697 3218.984554 4023.094388 4968.156969 6035.114304 7321.910060
2025-01-19 1793.573212 2379.092849 3063.479046 3911.753955 4923.841184 6081.719966 7495.073896
2025-01-26 1747.412557 2368.888873 3106.086084 4031.588011 5148.502862 6439.126071 8028.737165
2025-02-02 1685.313790 2334.272468 3115.267650 4108.018561 5319.348666 6732.495854 8487.948626
2025-02-09 1591.537843 2254.407029 3064.208367 4106.838227 5393.412796 6908.943934 8807.866485
2025-02-16 1493.100697 2163.266823 2994.369637 4078.088266 5430.226169 7038.112453 9069.658998
2025-02-23 1435.484838 2121.745127 2984.123289 4121.133467 5553.395471 7270.456655 9455.500368
2025-03-02 1359.179031 2053.339717 2938.273391 4119.032229 5621.717547 7438.853664 9768.805964
2025-03-09 1317.595446 2029.384139 2948.342394 4187.343011 5778.212146 7716.374418 10217.675244
2025-03-16 1240.432721 1953.200354 2886.740845 4160.264279 5811.784115 7840.581684 10477.709385
2025-03-23 1211.667329 1942.073548 2909.769325 4242.236861 5983.774736 8137.093992 10951.793158
2025-03-30 1162.634757 1900.102938 2889.477576 4265.604965 6079.426497 8337.776253 11307.443837
2025-04-06 1109.491730 1849.758634 2855.652811 4269.100099 6147.954194 8503.598734 11619.669511
2025-04-13 1017.462380 1739.056401 2735.236625 4152.705955 6056.494638 8463.641890 11670.791615
2025-04-20 1013.544208 1757.253778 2793.288371 4277.977751 6283.691482 8831.734876 12240.234047
2025-04-27 994.809761 1752.363176 2818.304710 4357.854675 6451.000262 9123.890156 12715.029021
2025-05-04 950.912536 1707.627604 2785.354163 4356.621244 6509.237219 9275.009162 13010.200005
2025-05-11 900.497270 1650.701405 2732.974398 4326.576767 6527.302008 9373.061118 13236.971353